History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
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able actions actual allows alter argued behavior century chapter claim complex conceptual consider construction context counterfactual course create describe determine direct discipline draw economic effects especially evidence example exist experience explore fact fiction field Figure forces future futurists goal happen historians history2 human idea imagination important inferences interest John kind knowledge language larger logic look meaning mental map method mind narrative noted object observes occur once ontological past patterns period philosophers physical pieces possible prediction present Press probability produce questions reality reason relationship represent representation Rescher scenario scenarist Schwartz scientific sense shape similar situation social societies sources space specific statements stories structure surprise thing thinking thought tion trend truth understand University write written York