History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... writing this book just prior to my ac- cepting the position as Director of the Goldberg Program , and I wondered if I would have time to complete this or , indeed , any other research project . The chair of the department , Kenneth ...
... writing this book just prior to my ac- cepting the position as Director of the Goldberg Program , and I wondered if I would have time to complete this or , indeed , any other research project . The chair of the department , Kenneth ...
Page 6
... writing in or- der to compensate for the absence of the past itself . " In this formulation , his- toryZ is a substitute for historyl ; the question for the philosophy of history , then , is how useful is this substitute for allowing us ...
... writing in or- der to compensate for the absence of the past itself . " In this formulation , his- toryZ is a substitute for historyl ; the question for the philosophy of history , then , is how useful is this substitute for allowing us ...
Page 10
... written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
... written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
Page 11
... written in the form of a narrative that describes a particular environment , rather than providing a linear account of events . A scenario , as defined by Peter Schwartz , a leading practitioner of the scenario method in business , is ...
... written in the form of a narrative that describes a particular environment , rather than providing a linear account of events . A scenario , as defined by Peter Schwartz , a leading practitioner of the scenario method in business , is ...
Page 12
... written narrative in history is very similar to a scenario , in that it is a type of mental map of the past . A historian's interpretation of the past is , as Ankersmit argued , a substitute , a representation of the past and not the ...
... written narrative in history is very similar to a scenario , in that it is a type of mental map of the past . A historian's interpretation of the past is , as Ankersmit argued , a substitute , a representation of the past and not the ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York