History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 4
... truth , and objectivity of historical statements . An- alytic philosophers focus their attention on history2 , that is on the narration of the past and the epistemological foundations of those narratives . For much of the twentieth ...
... truth , and objectivity of historical statements . An- alytic philosophers focus their attention on history2 , that is on the narration of the past and the epistemological foundations of those narratives . For much of the twentieth ...
Page 6
... truth " in history is a mean- ingless concept . Since one cannot hope to achieve total correspondence be- tween historyZ and historyl , historians should cease seeking this impossible goal . ( In fact , according to some postmodernists ...
... truth " in history is a mean- ingless concept . Since one cannot hope to achieve total correspondence be- tween historyZ and historyl , historians should cease seeking this impossible goal . ( In fact , according to some postmodernists ...
Page 11
... truth value of a scenario is less important — since we are always uncertain as to the precise dimensions of the future — than its usefulness as a guide to thought and action in the pres- ent . The map in the above example was clearly ...
... truth value of a scenario is less important — since we are always uncertain as to the precise dimensions of the future — than its usefulness as a guide to thought and action in the pres- ent . The map in the above example was clearly ...
Page 16
... truth of the past . With the representation thus severed from the past , the historian is granted interpretive freedom , freedom from any neces- sity to recreate the truth . The historian Warren Wagar — who was one of the few ...
... truth of the past . With the representation thus severed from the past , the historian is granted interpretive freedom , freedom from any neces- sity to recreate the truth . The historian Warren Wagar — who was one of the few ...
Page 55
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York