History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 vii.
... Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 vii.
Page 3
... structure of the past . In the twentieth century , analytic philosophers of history became more interested in studying history2 , that is with the patterns in the structures of historians ' narration of the past . The relationship ...
... structure of the past . In the twentieth century , analytic philosophers of history became more interested in studying history2 , that is with the patterns in the structures of historians ' narration of the past . The relationship ...
Page 11
... structure and composition of the world around us . 16 This mental picture might be accurate or it might be inaccurate , some portions of it might be detailed , other parts cloudy and vague . Whatever its status , human behavior is ...
... structure and composition of the world around us . 16 This mental picture might be accurate or it might be inaccurate , some portions of it might be detailed , other parts cloudy and vague . Whatever its status , human behavior is ...
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... structure of our mental maps . A mental map , therefore , is flexible , serving a heuristic function . Likewise , a scenario is a type of mental map of the future , in that it pro- vides a picture of the world that serves as a guide to ...
... structure of our mental maps . A mental map , therefore , is flexible , serving a heuristic function . Likewise , a scenario is a type of mental map of the future , in that it pro- vides a picture of the world that serves as a guide to ...
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... structural history . Historians cannot write of the pro- cession of events of the future ; however , historians can think in terms of pos- sible structures of the future , and can infer a coherent set of relationships that might define ...
... structural history . Historians cannot write of the pro- cession of events of the future ; however , historians can think in terms of pos- sible structures of the future , and can infer a coherent set of relationships that might define ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York