History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 2
... stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break with past efforts to think about the relationship between history and ...
... stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break with past efforts to think about the relationship between history and ...
Page 10
... of written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
... of written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
Page 11
... story told by the Nobel Laureate Albert Szent - Gyorgi , a story that provides some insight as to the differences between scenarios and predictions as ways of thinking about the future . A Hungarian detachment was lost in the Alps for ...
... story told by the Nobel Laureate Albert Szent - Gyorgi , a story that provides some insight as to the differences between scenarios and predictions as ways of thinking about the future . A Hungarian detachment was lost in the Alps for ...
Page 15
... stories , but this chapter argues for the use of " historical imagination " when thinking about the future — that is , a disciplined enactment of the future in our minds . The chapter will explore how we can imagine the unreal , and ...
... stories , but this chapter argues for the use of " historical imagination " when thinking about the future — that is , a disciplined enactment of the future in our minds . The chapter will explore how we can imagine the unreal , and ...
Page 29
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York