History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 2
... method for representing the future — in many ways better than that traditionally employed by social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . The Future and the Philosophy of History In many languages 2 2 Introduction.
... method for representing the future — in many ways better than that traditionally employed by social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . The Future and the Philosophy of History In many languages 2 2 Introduction.
Page 4
... social- scientific methodologies , since these methods tend to favor the covering law models and generalized laws ... social science , and indeed in many social - scientific disciplines the identification of general laws is an explicit ...
... social- scientific methodologies , since these methods tend to favor the covering law models and generalized laws ... social science , and indeed in many social - scientific disciplines the identification of general laws is an explicit ...
Page 5
... social science is a breeding ground for futurists . If one can derive general laws about human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists ...
... social science is a breeding ground for futurists . If one can derive general laws about human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists ...
Page 7
... social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent the future . Changing Images of the Future While humans have long had an ...
... social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent the future . Changing Images of the Future While humans have long had an ...
Page 9
... social realm , are doomed to failure ; anyone claiming pre- dictive certainty is , in the words of one critic , little more than a modern day " fortune seller . " 12 While there are many futurists who continue to maintain that the ...
... social realm , are doomed to failure ; anyone claiming pre- dictive certainty is , in the words of one critic , little more than a modern day " fortune seller . " 12 While there are many futurists who continue to maintain that the ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York