History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 4
... scientific methodologies , since these methods tend to favor the covering law models and generalized laws favored by speculative philosophers . In any event , in an age of specialization , a speculative philosophy of history is too ...
... scientific methodologies , since these methods tend to favor the covering law models and generalized laws favored by speculative philosophers . In any event , in an age of specialization , a speculative philosophy of history is too ...
Page 7
... scientific disciplines , from engineering , or , more recently , from the social sciences . The modern interest in futurism has long been asso- ciated with science , specifically with the values of prediction and control that science ...
... scientific disciplines , from engineering , or , more recently , from the social sciences . The modern interest in futurism has long been asso- ciated with science , specifically with the values of prediction and control that science ...
Page 8
... scientific prediction and control has had a central place in the value system of futurists , then one would assume that changes in those paradigmatic assumptions would have an effect on the study of the future . Throughout the twentieth ...
... scientific prediction and control has had a central place in the value system of futurists , then one would assume that changes in those paradigmatic assumptions would have an effect on the study of the future . Throughout the twentieth ...
Page 13
... Scientific Revolution , and was later leavened by the industrial revo- lution and the rise of commercial capitalism . Unlike the earlier Christian Middle Ages , in the modern period the future has been understood to be sec- ular ...
... Scientific Revolution , and was later leavened by the industrial revo- lution and the rise of commercial capitalism . Unlike the earlier Christian Middle Ages , in the modern period the future has been understood to be sec- ular ...
Page 19
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York