History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... represent the future . While we have traditionally applied our skills to the study of the past , historians could ... representing the past , " History , like poetry and song , " according to the philosopher and historian Michael ...
... represent the future . While we have traditionally applied our skills to the study of the past , historians could ... representing the past , " History , like poetry and song , " according to the philosopher and historian Michael ...
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... represents.8 That is , history2 is not history 1. As a result , the linguis- tic choices one employs in creating history2 have consequences for how his- toryl is represented and understood . We can never perceive or understand historyl ...
... represents.8 That is , history2 is not history 1. As a result , the linguis- tic choices one employs in creating history2 have consequences for how his- toryl is represented and understood . We can never perceive or understand historyl ...
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... representing the future — in many ways better than that traditionally employed by social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent ...
... representing the future — in many ways better than that traditionally employed by social scientists and other scientifically minded futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent ...
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... representing future 1. Trend extrapolation is perhaps the most well - known of these techniques . This method traces the movement of a specific trend through time and then projects the trajectory of that line forward into the future ...
... representing future 1. Trend extrapolation is perhaps the most well - known of these techniques . This method traces the movement of a specific trend through time and then projects the trajectory of that line forward into the future ...
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... represent the future procession of events . Rather , he or she should seek to represent the plausible structures of the fu- ture in the form of scenarios . Futurists define scenarios as descriptions of the environment in which ac- tions ...
... represent the future procession of events . Rather , he or she should seek to represent the plausible structures of the fu- ture in the form of scenarios . Futurists define scenarios as descriptions of the environment in which ac- tions ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York