History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 31
Page 1
... questions , seek evidence , draw inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical ...
... questions , seek evidence , draw inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical ...
Page 5
... question for the philoso- phy of history , then , is to determine how closely history2 can be made to re- semble historyl . Is it even possible for historyZ to resemble history! ? Some postmodern critics maintain that history? is ...
... question for the philoso- phy of history , then , is to determine how closely history2 can be made to re- semble historyl . Is it even possible for historyZ to resemble history! ? Some postmodern critics maintain that history? is ...
Page 6
... question not in terms of " truth " but in terms of " utility . " That is , a historyZ that corresponds as closely to ... questions : of analytic philosophy , of language and representation , and not the older tradition of speculative ...
... question not in terms of " truth " but in terms of " utility . " That is , a historyZ that corresponds as closely to ... questions : of analytic philosophy , of language and representation , and not the older tradition of speculative ...
Page 8
... some scientists have called into question our ability to predict even physical systems and other systems governed by rule - based behavior . Quan- tum physicists at the beginning of the century called into 8 ~ Introduction.
... some scientists have called into question our ability to predict even physical systems and other systems governed by rule - based behavior . Quan- tum physicists at the beginning of the century called into 8 ~ Introduction.
Page 9
... question the subject - object dichotomy that undergirded much of modern science , mean- ing that our observations can affect the very objects that we are observing , making definitive predictions problematic . More recently ...
... question the subject - object dichotomy that undergirded much of modern science , mean- ing that our observations can affect the very objects that we are observing , making definitive predictions problematic . More recently ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York