History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 31
Page 1
... once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men , historians today are just as likely to inquire into a much wider domain of the past , from the lives of families and peasants ...
... once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men , historians today are just as likely to inquire into a much wider domain of the past , from the lives of families and peasants ...
Page 6
... once one re- alizes that history, can never be so constrained by historyl . I do not subscribe to this view , but neither am I naive enough to assume that any historical work is the same thing as the past . History2 can never be the ...
... once one re- alizes that history, can never be so constrained by historyl . I do not subscribe to this view , but neither am I naive enough to assume that any historical work is the same thing as the past . History2 can never be the ...
Page 7
... once nature's secrets had been learned , nature could be directed or controlled for human ends , a value system that remains at the heart of science . That we can predict the future is one of the hallmarks of modern science . Social ...
... once nature's secrets had been learned , nature could be directed or controlled for human ends , a value system that remains at the heart of science . That we can predict the future is one of the hallmarks of modern science . Social ...
Page 10
... of written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
... of written narratives , or stories about the future . Once the evidence has been collected and analyzed , the scenarist then determines the most probable fu- ture paths , noting again that he or she will 10 ། Introduction.
Page 13
... revealed that prediction in science was , at best , problematic . In the last thirty years , ideas in the physical sciences collectively labeled " complexity " or " non - linear science " have once again called Introduction 13 །
... revealed that prediction in science was , at best , problematic . In the last thirty years , ideas in the physical sciences collectively labeled " complexity " or " non - linear science " have once again called Introduction 13 །
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York