History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 2
... object that can stand in its place . In the same way , it can be said that we can write a " history of the future " in order to compensate for the absence of the future itself ; that we need to create representations of the future as a ...
... object that can stand in its place . In the same way , it can be said that we can write a " history of the future " in order to compensate for the absence of the future itself ; that we need to create representations of the future as a ...
Page 6
... object that can stand in its place . " The etymology of the word ' representation ' will give us access to its ontological properties , " Ankersmit writes . " We may ' re - present ' some- thing by presenting a substitute of this thing ...
... object that can stand in its place . " The etymology of the word ' representation ' will give us access to its ontological properties , " Ankersmit writes . " We may ' re - present ' some- thing by presenting a substitute of this thing ...
Page 9
... object dichotomy that undergirded much of modern science , mean- ing that our observations can affect the very objects that we are observing , making definitive predictions problematic . More recently , practitioners of the so - called ...
... object dichotomy that undergirded much of modern science , mean- ing that our observations can affect the very objects that we are observing , making definitive predictions problematic . More recently , practitioners of the so - called ...
Page 13
... object of our inquiry , the field of investigation . What is the future ? The chapter will especially draw attention to the relationship between science and ideas about the future . The modern idea that the future is deterministic ...
... object of our inquiry , the field of investigation . What is the future ? The chapter will especially draw attention to the relationship between science and ideas about the future . The modern idea that the future is deterministic ...
Page 16
... object created in the present , for our use in the present . The standard of judg- ment should be the utility of the representation , that is , how useful the rep- resentation is in allowing us to think clearly and reasonably about the ...
... object created in the present , for our use in the present . The standard of judg- ment should be the utility of the representation , that is , how useful the rep- resentation is in allowing us to think clearly and reasonably about the ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York