History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years . Phil Lampe invited me to speak at the 2004 LIMRA Marketing conference on the idea of scenarios , and didn't seem to mind that it was an academic and a historian who would ...
... look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years . Phil Lampe invited me to speak at the 2004 LIMRA Marketing conference on the idea of scenarios , and didn't seem to mind that it was an academic and a historian who would ...
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... looks out for information from a variety of sources that might provide evidence about future possibilities . Often , the sce- narist attempts to identify the " driving forces " that will determine the shape of the future . From this ...
... looks out for information from a variety of sources that might provide evidence about future possibilities . Often , the sce- narist attempts to identify the " driving forces " that will determine the shape of the future . From this ...
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... look upon their statements about the future . For many scenarists , the accuracy or truth value of a scenario is less important — since we are always uncertain as to the precise dimensions of the future — than its usefulness as a guide ...
... look upon their statements about the future . For many scenarists , the accuracy or truth value of a scenario is less important — since we are always uncertain as to the precise dimensions of the future — than its usefulness as a guide ...
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Page 24
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York