History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 3
... larger matrix : if events in the past are governed by patterns and laws , then history provides an excellent guide to the future by projecting these patterns and laws forward . This style of history , however , has not been warmly ...
... larger matrix : if events in the past are governed by patterns and laws , then history provides an excellent guide to the future by projecting these patterns and laws forward . This style of history , however , has not been warmly ...
Page 5
... larger history of analytic approaches to the philosophy of history . Like the concerns of the analytic philosophers , postmodern critics con- centrate on issues of history2 . Specifically , these critics , beginning with Hay- den White ...
... larger history of analytic approaches to the philosophy of history . Like the concerns of the analytic philosophers , postmodern critics con- centrate on issues of history2 . Specifically , these critics , beginning with Hay- den White ...
Page 22
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Page 32
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Page 33
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York