History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 3
... interests them most . The older speculative philosophy of history was concerned with history1 , that is with the patterns in the structure of the past . In the twentieth century , analytic philosophers of history became more interested ...
... interests them most . The older speculative philosophy of history was concerned with history1 , that is with the patterns in the structure of the past . In the twentieth century , analytic philosophers of history became more interested ...
Page 6
... interest . The philosopher F. R. Ankersmit has argued that any historical represen- tation is a substitute for , rather than a copy of , the past . The past is no longer in existence , therefore the historian must create an object that ...
... interest . The philosopher F. R. Ankersmit has argued that any historical represen- tation is a substitute for , rather than a copy of , the past . The past is no longer in existence , therefore the historian must create an object that ...
Page 7
... interest in what is to come , and our history is filled with augers and prophets and fortunetellers , these earlier examples are at some distance from the modern futurist . Many practitioners of futuring tend to come from scientific ...
... interest in what is to come , and our history is filled with augers and prophets and fortunetellers , these earlier examples are at some distance from the modern futurist . Many practitioners of futuring tend to come from scientific ...
Page 8
... interests then they are to work for nonprofit think tanks , but the impulse remains the same , and the values have changed very little : the study of the fu- ture is secular , focused on technology and innovation , and aimed at the pre ...
... interests then they are to work for nonprofit think tanks , but the impulse remains the same , and the values have changed very little : the study of the fu- ture is secular , focused on technology and innovation , and aimed at the pre ...
Page 20
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York