History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 40
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... Inference , and Statements 47 Chapter 3 Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A ...
... Inference , and Statements 47 Chapter 3 Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A ...
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... inference and pointed me to many useful resources . David Kimmel , in the English de- partment , first asked me about the role of imagination in history , which led to many years of thought and reflection . Had David not first asked ...
... inference and pointed me to many useful resources . David Kimmel , in the English de- partment , first asked me about the role of imagination in history , which led to many years of thought and reflection . Had David not first asked ...
Page 1
... inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical method from the past altogether ...
... inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical method from the past altogether ...
Page 2
... inferences from that evidence , both methods produce narratives or stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break with ...
... inferences from that evidence , both methods produce narratives or stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break with ...
Page 10
... inferences from evidence . Recall that anything , in theory , can be considered evidence as long as it makes something else " evident . " The scenarist " scans the envi- ronment , " meaning he or she looks out for information from a ...
... inferences from evidence . Recall that anything , in theory , can be considered evidence as long as it makes something else " evident . " The scenarist " scans the envi- ronment , " meaning he or she looks out for information from a ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York