History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 43
Page 4
... human agency , largely missing from spec- ulative approaches . Speculative philosophers of history do not typically en- gage in careful analysis of primary - source evidence , and are often accused of twisting the " facts " of the past ...
... human agency , largely missing from spec- ulative approaches . Speculative philosophers of history do not typically en- gage in careful analysis of primary - source evidence , and are often accused of twisting the " facts " of the past ...
Page 5
... human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists , however , deny the possibility of historians making general , law - like statements ...
... human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists , however , deny the possibility of historians making general , law - like statements ...
Page 7
... human ends , a value system that remains at the heart of science . That we can predict the future is one of the hallmarks of modern science . Social theorists , since the time of the Enlightenment , have absorbed these same values and ...
... human ends , a value system that remains at the heart of science . That we can predict the future is one of the hallmarks of modern science . Social theorists , since the time of the Enlightenment , have absorbed these same values and ...
Page 11
... around us . 16 This mental picture might be accurate or it might be inaccurate , some portions of it might be detailed , other parts cloudy and vague . Whatever its status , human behavior is governed by our mental Introduction ~ 11.
... around us . 16 This mental picture might be accurate or it might be inaccurate , some portions of it might be detailed , other parts cloudy and vague . Whatever its status , human behavior is governed by our mental Introduction ~ 11.
Page 12
Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. its status , human behavior is governed by our mental maps ; we make decisions and choices based upon the information we receive and the ways in which that information ...
Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. its status , human behavior is governed by our mental maps ; we make decisions and choices based upon the information we receive and the ways in which that information ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York