History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... historian , has been a font of wisdom and guidance , both in the theoretical matters explored in this book and in the practical world of being a consulting futurist . I look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years ...
... historian , has been a font of wisdom and guidance , both in the theoretical matters explored in this book and in the practical world of being a consulting futurist . I look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years ...
Page 1
... historians once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men , historians today are just as likely to inquire into a much wider domain of the past , from the lives of families ...
... historians once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men , historians today are just as likely to inquire into a much wider domain of the past , from the lives of families ...
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... historians looked to patterns in the past to predict patterns in the future . ( Think of Toynbee or Spengler . ) I am instead arguing that it is the historical method — the way in which historians use lan- guage to create a ...
... historians looked to patterns in the past to predict patterns in the future . ( Think of Toynbee or Spengler . ) I am instead arguing that it is the historical method — the way in which historians use lan- guage to create a ...
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... Historians and philosophers of history — if they have addressed it at all— have traditionally defined " the future " as a problem for the speculative phi- losophy of history . Historians such as Vico , Voltaire , Kant , Hegel , and Marx ...
... Historians and philosophers of history — if they have addressed it at all— have traditionally defined " the future " as a problem for the speculative phi- losophy of history . Historians such as Vico , Voltaire , Kant , Hegel , and Marx ...
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... historian , especially in a professional environment heavily influenced by Rankean historicism , where immersion in the archives and the detailed study of smaller and smaller problems is the preferred method . As historians have ...
... historian , especially in a professional environment heavily influenced by Rankean historicism , where immersion in the archives and the detailed study of smaller and smaller problems is the preferred method . As historians have ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York