History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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... futurist . I look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years . Phil Lampe invited me to speak at the 2004 LIMRA Marketing conference on the idea of scenarios , and didn't seem to mind that it was an academic and a ...
... futurist . I look forward to continued collaboration with him for many years . Phil Lampe invited me to speak at the 2004 LIMRA Marketing conference on the idea of scenarios , and didn't seem to mind that it was an academic and a ...
Page 1
... futurists approach their subject by redefining futurism as " a way of using language . " In addressing these two audiences , the book will explore the similarities be- tween the historical method and the scenario method , a strategic ...
... futurists approach their subject by redefining futurism as " a way of using language . " In addressing these two audiences , the book will explore the similarities be- tween the historical method and the scenario method , a strategic ...
Page 2
... futurists should not view the future as a scientist might — aiming for predictions and certainties — but rather should view the future in the same way that a historian views the past —aiming for representation and understanding . This ...
... futurists should not view the future as a scientist might — aiming for predictions and certainties — but rather should view the future in the same way that a historian views the past —aiming for representation and understanding . This ...
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... futurists . If one can derive general laws about human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists , however , deny the possibility of ...
... futurists . If one can derive general laws about human society from the study of the past , one need only point those same laws forward to derive predictive statements about the future . Idealists , however , deny the possibility of ...
Page 7
... futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent the ... futurist . Many practitioners of futuring tend to come from scientific disciplines , from engineering , or , more ...
... futurists . This book will explore how historians can use their disci- plined form of language to represent the ... futurist . Many practitioners of futuring tend to come from scientific disciplines , from engineering , or , more ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York