History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 42
Page 1
... draw inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical method from the past ...
... draw inferences from that evidence , cre- ate representations , and subject these representations to the scrutiny of other historians . In this book , I wish to take the next step , and sever the historical method from the past ...
Page 2
... draw inferences from that evidence , both methods produce narratives or stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break ...
... draw inferences from that evidence , both methods produce narratives or stories . Both a history and a future scenario are specific ways of using language that share many common properties . This argument represents an important break ...
Page 10
... drawing out a trend line from past behavior is not an effective way of thinking for- ward . Indeed , this future path ... draw inferences from evidence . Recall that anything , in theory , can be considered evidence as long as it makes ...
... drawing out a trend line from past behavior is not an effective way of thinking for- ward . Indeed , this future path ... draw inferences from evidence . Recall that anything , in theory , can be considered evidence as long as it makes ...
Page 13
... draw attention to the relationship between science and ideas about the future . The modern idea that the future is deterministic , predictable , and able to be controlled or influenced for human purposes dates to the Scientific ...
... draw attention to the relationship between science and ideas about the future . The modern idea that the future is deterministic , predictable , and able to be controlled or influenced for human purposes dates to the Scientific ...
Page 14
... draw from that evidence , and the historical statements we can make . Historians do not really study the past , but ... drawn , the historian may then make statements about the past . Similarly , a futurist cannot be said to study the ...
... draw from that evidence , and the historical statements we can make . Historians do not really study the past , but ... drawn , the historian may then make statements about the past . Similarly , a futurist cannot be said to study the ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York