History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 19
Page 4
... claims that the study of the past can yield understanding of the future . Perhaps as a result of the influence of historicist methods and their rejec- tion of speculative approaches , philosophers of history in the twentieth cen- tury ...
... claims that the study of the past can yield understanding of the future . Perhaps as a result of the influence of historicist methods and their rejec- tion of speculative approaches , philosophers of history in the twentieth cen- tury ...
Page 5
... claim , the historian cannot generalize about the phenomenon of " revolution . " Moreover , because of the inherent complexity of the interactions of these variables , and the fact that we have imperfect or incomplete information ...
... claim , the historian cannot generalize about the phenomenon of " revolution . " Moreover , because of the inherent complexity of the interactions of these variables , and the fact that we have imperfect or incomplete information ...
Page 6
... claim that the idea of " truth " in history is a mean- ingless concept . Since one cannot hope to achieve total ... claims that should be of interest . The philosopher F. R. Ankersmit has argued that any historical represen- tation is a ...
... claim that the idea of " truth " in history is a mean- ingless concept . Since one cannot hope to achieve total ... claims that should be of interest . The philosopher F. R. Ankersmit has argued that any historical represen- tation is a ...
Page 9
... claiming pre- dictive certainty is , in the words of one critic , little more than a modern day " fortune seller . " 12 While there are many futurists who continue to maintain that the future can be predicted , over the last few decades ...
... claiming pre- dictive certainty is , in the words of one critic , little more than a modern day " fortune seller . " 12 While there are many futurists who continue to maintain that the future can be predicted , over the last few decades ...
Page 15
... claiming that his- torians do not " make things up . " History is a discipline practiced in the mind , in the imagination . Much of the training of an historian involves disciplin- ing that imagination , learning to separate what is ...
... claiming that his- torians do not " make things up . " History is a discipline practiced in the mind , in the imagination . Much of the training of an historian involves disciplin- ing that imagination , learning to separate what is ...
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York