History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 36
Page 1
... century was the application of the historical method to wider and more ex- pansive areas of the past . Where historians once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men ...
... century was the application of the historical method to wider and more ex- pansive areas of the past . Where historians once defined the study of his- tory strictly in terms of politics and the actions and decisions of Great Men ...
Page 3
... centuries . In the twentieth century , Oswald Spengler and Arnold Toynbee were the most notable proponents , and more recent efforts to un- derstand the patterns in the past in order to think forward about the future can be found in the ...
... centuries . In the twentieth century , Oswald Spengler and Arnold Toynbee were the most notable proponents , and more recent efforts to un- derstand the patterns in the past in order to think forward about the future can be found in the ...
Page 4
... century , analytic philosophers were divided into two camps : positivists and idealists . Positivists maintain that history is no different from any other empirical science , and that historians can and should produce generalizations ...
... century , analytic philosophers were divided into two camps : positivists and idealists . Positivists maintain that history is no different from any other empirical science , and that historians can and should produce generalizations ...
Page 5
... century analytic philosophy of history has largely given way to the " linguis- tic turn . " In many ways , the concern for the language employed by historians is an extension of the concerns of analytic philosophers ; in fact , we might ...
... century analytic philosophy of history has largely given way to the " linguis- tic turn . " In many ways , the concern for the language employed by historians is an extension of the concerns of analytic philosophers ; in fact , we might ...
Page 7
... century , economists , political scientists , and sociologists " hardened " their disciplines , in an attempt to make them more mathematical and predictive , an approach largely rejected by historians . Introduction 7.
... century , economists , political scientists , and sociologists " hardened " their disciplines , in an attempt to make them more mathematical and predictive , an approach largely rejected by historians . Introduction 7.
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York