History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 25
Page 6
... allowing us to understand the past . I believe we can ask the same question when studying the future . In fact , this book places the debate about history and the future within this same set of questions : of analytic philosophy , of ...
... allowing us to understand the past . I believe we can ask the same question when studying the future . In fact , this book places the debate about history and the future within this same set of questions : of analytic philosophy , of ...
Page 12
... allows us to think about the past . The " fron- tier thesis " is just such a mental map , a picture of the past that organizes the information we receive about the past . Further , like a scenario , our mental maps in history are ...
... allows us to think about the past . The " fron- tier thesis " is just such a mental map , a picture of the past that organizes the information we receive about the past . Further , like a scenario , our mental maps in history are ...
Page 16
... allow us to think about it . This chapter applies this approach to the representation of the future , arguing that ... allowing us to think clearly and reasonably about the future . To demonstrate this point , the chapter draws from ...
... allow us to think about it . This chapter applies this approach to the representation of the future , arguing that ... allowing us to think clearly and reasonably about the future . To demonstrate this point , the chapter draws from ...
Page 28
Sorry, this page's content is restricted.
Sorry, this page's content is restricted.
Page 37
Sorry, this page's content is restricted.
Sorry, this page's content is restricted.
Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York