History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Page 8
... John Naisbitt , are more likely to come out of corporate settings or to sell their services to busi- ness interests then they are to work for nonprofit think tanks , but the impulse remains the same , and the values have changed very ...
... John Naisbitt , are more likely to come out of corporate settings or to sell their services to busi- ness interests then they are to work for nonprofit think tanks , but the impulse remains the same , and the values have changed very ...
Page 17
... Press , 1973 ) and The Content of the Form : Narrative Discourse and Historical Representation ( Baltimore : The John Hopkins University Press , 1987 ) . 9. F. R. Ankersmit , Historical Representation ( Stanford : Introduction ། 17.
... Press , 1973 ) and The Content of the Form : Narrative Discourse and Historical Representation ( Baltimore : The John Hopkins University Press , 1987 ) . 9. F. R. Ankersmit , Historical Representation ( Stanford : Introduction ། 17.
Page 18
... John Wiley , 1998 ) . 13. Peter Schwartz , The Art of the Long View : Paths to Strategic Insight for Yourself and Your Company ( New York : Currency Doubleday , 1996 ) , 4 . 14. Kees van der Heijden , Scenarios : The Art of Strategic ...
... John Wiley , 1998 ) . 13. Peter Schwartz , The Art of the Long View : Paths to Strategic Insight for Yourself and Your Company ( New York : Currency Doubleday , 1996 ) , 4 . 14. Kees van der Heijden , Scenarios : The Art of Strategic ...
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Page 32
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York