History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the FutureThe book reexamines this long held belief, and argues that the historical method is an excellent way to think about and represent the future. At the same time, the book asserts that futurists should not view the future as a scientist might--aiming for predictions and certainties--but rather should view the future in the same way that an historian views the past. |
From inside the book
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Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. As always , for Alexa Marie , Adam , and Owen Contents Figures ix Acknowledgments xi Introduction 1 Chapter 1 A.
Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. As always , for Alexa Marie , Adam , and Owen Contents Figures ix Acknowledgments xi Introduction 1 Chapter 1 A.
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... 3 Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 vii.
... 3 Structures and Events 71 Chapter 4 Historical Imagination 101 Chapter 5 Representation 129 Conclusion Historical Thinking 153 Bibliography 161 Index 167 About the Author 175 Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 vii.
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Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 Figure 2 . A Linear View of Time 25 Figure 3 . A Non - deterministic Future 28 Figure 4 . Kahn's Multiple Futures 36 2 2 0 8 ...
Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley. Figures Figure 1 . A Cyclical View of Time 22 Figure 2 . A Linear View of Time 25 Figure 3 . A Non - deterministic Future 28 Figure 4 . Kahn's Multiple Futures 36 2 2 0 8 ...
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Other editions - View all
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2010 |
History and Future: Using Historical Thinking to Imagine the Future David J. Staley Limited preview - 2006 |
Common terms and phrases
actual alter ampliative inferences Ankersmit argued behavior Bertrand de Jouvenel business space chapter Collingwood complex conceptual consider context counterfactual counterfactual history create creative Daniel Yergin describe discipline draw inferences driving forces economic effects Elliott Waves example explore future1 futurists goal happen historians historical field historical imagination historical method historical representation historical statements historical thinking history2 human idea Irreality Lane and Maxfield language linear logic meaning mental map mind narios narrative Nicholas Rescher object ontological Ontological Uncertainty past patterns Peter Schwartz philosophers of history pieces of evidence plausible possible predict the future present questions R. G. Collingwood reality relationship represent Rescher scenario method scenario space scenario thinking scenario writers scenarist scientific sense shape situation social societies specific stories structure subjunctive surprise tion torians trend line truth ture understand University Press Virtual History write York